How long can Iran continue the war?

How Long Can Iran Continue the War?

In the current conflict with the United States and Israel, Iran has been operating independently, relying heavily on its missile and drone arsenal. The Islamic regime has expressed no plans to yield, as emphasized by Ali Larijani, head of the Supreme National Security Council. Speaking on the third day of the ongoing hostilities, Larijani asserted, “We will defend ourselves, whatever the cost.”

Since February 28, the US and Israel have launched a synchronized, large-scale military campaign against Iran. Their focus has been on eliminating key Iranian leaders and striking strategic government installations. Despite the loss of several high-ranking officials, the regime has remained unshaken, maintaining its core operations. In response, Iran has launched missiles and drones at targets in Israel and neighboring Persian Gulf nations, including US military bases.

The United Arab Emirates reported that it has faced hundreds of Iranian rocket and drone attacks in recent days. Meanwhile, Admiral Brad Cooper, commander of the US Central Command, noted that by March 4, Iran had deployed over 500 ballistic missiles and 2,000 drones. He criticized the attacks for targeting civilians without distinction.

“We are also seeing that mobile missile launchers are being pursued with great vigor,” said a weapons expert, who requested anonymity. “What was very difficult five years ago is now possible thanks to technological advances. Still, the question remains as to how many of these systems have actually been destroyed.”

Satellite imagery shared online suggests recent strikes on missile bases in Kermanshah, Karaj, Khorramabad, and northern Tabriz. The images depict collapsed tunnel entrances linked to underground storage facilities. Analysts believe these attacks have significantly depleted Iran’s missile stockpile, both through active use and US-Israeli strikes that destroyed bomb depots.

Iran’s drone production remains a key asset. According to leaked Russian documents, Tehran can manufacture approximately 5,000 drones monthly. These simple systems are launched from makeshift scaffolds assembled in hours, with each Shahed drone costing several thousand dollars. In contrast, a US-made Patriot missile interceptor can cost up to $3 million.

An analysis by the New York Times, using satellite data and verified footage, indicated that Iran targeted US military bases in the Middle East with short-range missiles and drones. The attacks aimed to damage communication and radar infrastructure, though exact details of the US’s network remain classified. This suggests Iran’s strategy to hinder American coordination and situational awareness.

“Iran will try to prolong the war and is playing for time,” said Fawaz Gerges, a professor at the London School of Economics. “The Iranian leadership has had time to plan and coordinate its actions. I think they are preparing for a long war,” he added, highlighting the regime’s focus on endurance and resilience.